Safety and Health at Work Vol. 13 Supplement 2022
Future health prior to state pension age - explorations for the Netherlands 2040
Dublin Core
Title
Safety and Health at Work Vol. 13 Supplement 2022
Future health prior to state pension age - explorations for the Netherlands 2040
Future health prior to state pension age - explorations for the Netherlands 2040
Subject
Future, health prior,state pension age, explorations,Netherlands 2040
Description
Introduction: In many Western countries, the state pension age is being raised to stimulate the extension of working lives. In the Netherlands, the state pension age is expected to be raised to 68 years in 2040. It is not yet well understood whether health of the 60+ permits this increase. In this study, the future health of Dutch adults aged 60 to 68 is explored up to 2040.
Materials and Methods: Data are from the Dutch Health Interview
Survey 1990-2017 (Ne10,000 yearly) and the Dutch Public Health
Monitor 2016 (N1⁄4205,151). Health is operationalized using combined scores of self-reported health and limitations in mobility, hearing or seeing. Categories are: good, moderate and poor health. Based on historical health trends, two scenarios are explored that are likely for the Dutch situation: a stable health trend (neither improving nor declining) and an improving health trend.
Results: In 2040, the health distribution among men aged 60-68 is
estimated to be 63-71% in good, 17-28% in moderate and 9-12% in
poor health. Among women this is estimated to be 64-69%, 17-24%
and 12-14%, respectively.
Conclusions: This study’s explorations suggest that the majority of
the older working-age population will be in good health and thus
should be capable to extend their working lives. However, also a
substantial share of people will be in moderate or poor health and
thus may have difficulty continuing working. Policy aiming at
sustainable employability will therefore remain important, even in
the case of the most favourable health trends.
Materials and Methods: Data are from the Dutch Health Interview
Survey 1990-2017 (Ne10,000 yearly) and the Dutch Public Health
Monitor 2016 (N1⁄4205,151). Health is operationalized using combined scores of self-reported health and limitations in mobility, hearing or seeing. Categories are: good, moderate and poor health. Based on historical health trends, two scenarios are explored that are likely for the Dutch situation: a stable health trend (neither improving nor declining) and an improving health trend.
Results: In 2040, the health distribution among men aged 60-68 is
estimated to be 63-71% in good, 17-28% in moderate and 9-12% in
poor health. Among women this is estimated to be 64-69%, 17-24%
and 12-14%, respectively.
Conclusions: This study’s explorations suggest that the majority of
the older working-age population will be in good health and thus
should be capable to extend their working lives. However, also a
substantial share of people will be in moderate or poor health and
thus may have difficulty continuing working. Policy aiming at
sustainable employability will therefore remain important, even in
the case of the most favourable health trends.
Creator
Maaike van der Noordt , Johan J. Polder, Marjanne H.D. Plasmans,
Henk B.M. Hilderink and Dorly J.H. Deeg
Henk B.M. Hilderink and Dorly J.H. Deeg
Publisher
Elsevier Korea LLC
Date
January 2022
Contributor
Sri Wahyuni
Format
PDF
Language
English
Type
Text
Coverage
Safety and Health at Work Vol. 13 Supplement 2022
Files
Citation
Maaike van der Noordt , Johan J. Polder, Marjanne H.D. Plasmans,
Henk B.M. Hilderink and Dorly J.H. Deeg , “Safety and Health at Work Vol. 13 Supplement 2022
Future health prior to state pension age - explorations for the Netherlands 2040,” Repository Horizon University Indonesia, accessed April 18, 2025, https://repository.horizon.ac.id/items/show/2442.
Future health prior to state pension age - explorations for the Netherlands 2040,” Repository Horizon University Indonesia, accessed April 18, 2025, https://repository.horizon.ac.id/items/show/2442.