Forecasting Cases of Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever Using the Backpropagation, Gaussians and Support-Vector MachineMethods

Dublin Core

Title

Forecasting Cases of Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever Using the Backpropagation, Gaussians and Support-Vector MachineMethods

Subject

Dengue Fever, Data Mining, Backpropagation, Gaussians, Support-Vector Machine, MAPE

Description

Dengue disease has been known to the people of Indonesia since 1779.The Aedes mosquito has two types, namely Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus.Aedes aegypti is a mosquito that carries the dengue virus.The dengue fever casesin Bali province tend to increase from year to year, especially when approaching the rainy season. The government's preventive actionis needed to tackle the spread of the dengue virus and casualties.Data mining attemptsto extract known knowledge or use historical data to find regularity patterns and relationships in a set of data. In this study, data miningpredictsthe number of dengue cases in Bali's province. The prediction uses several database variables to predict future variables' values, which are not currently known. The process of estimating predictive values based on patterns in a data set. This forecasting aims to assist the government in predictingdengue fever casesin the coming period toprepare appropriate prevention efforts. Forecasting dengue fever cases arecarried out using threemethods:backpropagation, gaussians, and support-vector machine. The amount of data used was 528 sample data, from 2008 to 2018.The results obtained are that the backpropagation method is better at predicting dengue fever cases with a MAPE error rate of 0.025. Simultaneously,the gaussian method has a MAPEerror rate of 0.035,and support-vector machine has a MAPE error rate of 0.060.

Creator

I Made Yudha Arya Dala1, I Ketut Gede Darma Putra2, Putu Wira Buana3

Source

https://jurnal.iaii.or.id/index.php/RESTI/issue/view/22

Publisher

UdayanaUniversity

Date

30 april 2021

Contributor

Fajar bagus W

Format

PDF

Language

Indonesia

Type

Text

Files

Collection

Citation

I Made Yudha Arya Dala1, I Ketut Gede Darma Putra2, Putu Wira Buana3, “Forecasting Cases of Dengue Hemorrhagic Fever Using the Backpropagation, Gaussians and Support-Vector MachineMethods,” Repository Horizon University Indonesia, accessed June 30, 2025, https://repository.horizon.ac.id/items/show/8585.